Skip to content

XTB TRADEBEAT

US data has little impact as traders look to Jackson Hole

Summary:

  • US existing home sales drop to lowest level in almost a year
  • Initial jobless claims remain robust
  • SEK rising and pushing USDSEK down to key support at 8.00
  • Jackson Hole Symposium begins

The number of US homes sold in the month of July came in below consensus estimates at 5.44M - the lowest level since last August’s data. There has been a steady drop seen in this economic indicator in recent months after hitting a high of 5.71M in March. Before today’s release the three following read 5.57M, 5.62M and 5.52M and the slide could be seen as a warning sign as to the health of the US housing market. 

Today’s economic calendar is light in terms of market moving releases with the weekly initial jobless claims from the US the standout. The number of citizens claiming unemployment benefits ticked higher to 234k in the past week, marginally higher than the 232k seen last time out but below the consensus forecast of 237k. Looking at the US dollar index the market is holding onto key support at 92.45 but has failed to sustain a recovery.

There’s been a sharp move higher in the Swedish Krona today following comments out of the country’s central bank. The USDSEK bares an uncanny resemblance to the USDIDX on a weekly chart with the pair falling in recent months to a major support level. The 8.00 level has previously attracted buyers and acted as a base since late 2014. 

The UK economy grew 1.7% yoy and 0.3% qoq in the second quarter this year matching the first estimates. On the surface, growth seems to be beneficial for British assets, however the GDP breakdown discloses a less favorable backdrop. In effect, the pound slipped immediately against the greenback as well as the euro.

We’ve written a great deal about Ripple lately predominantly owing to wild volatility seen there. What’s more we warned yesterday against a possible pullback on this digital currency as some signs of fatigue could have been spotted. As a result, Ripple crashed from shy of 0.3$ to below $0.22. Nonetheless, it has managed to recoup its losses since then climbing above $0.26 during European trading.

The Jackson Hole symposium began today with the world’s leading central bankers convening at an event that has a track record of theowing up major market moving news. Speeches from Janet Yellen and Mario Draghi tomorrow are the most anticipated market events in August, particularly in the case of the ECB president where we can get a market mover that could determine the fate of the EURUSD rally.

 

Disclaimer

This article is provided for general information purposes only. Any opinions, analyses, prices or other content is provided for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Any research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Any information provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and any person acting on this information does so entirely at their own risk, we do not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.